One Nation MP David Farley is shaping up to be a man of integrity – something unusual in One Nation. After his chat on Insiders with David Speers it seems Mr Farley has a much better grasp of One Nation’s immigration figures than his party leader.
Mr Farley stated that the One Nation party’s Net Overseas Migration (NOM) target is a “true NOM” of 130,000, plus a minimum of 100,000 additional skilled and regional workers, bringing their total estimated intake to roughly 230,000 migrants annually, very similar to the proposal we expect the Labor government to adopt.
Mrs Hanson immediately came out and said that Farley was wrong and a sheepish Barnaby Joyce sort of backed her up but it seems that Mr Farley was spot-on and whilst one Nation want to make immigration an issue for the 2028 election it seems that the numbers aren’t going to work for them unless they tell porkies and, as they will never be accountable for their numbers, they probably will stick with the porkies.
Whilst Labor’s Tony Burke has yet to make a formal announcement the federal Labor government’s official Net Overseas Migration (NOM) forecasts and current data indicate a targeting of a long-term level of 225,000 per year by 2027–28.
So Mr Farley was right and his party leaders just want to muddy the waters so that they can attack the government.
The question is, how long will Mr Farley stay with One Nation – it must be extremely difficult for an intelligent person like Farley to sit down with fools.
This extract from Alice in Wonderland again comes to mind:
Farley: But I don’t want to go among mad people.
Joyce: Oh, you can’t help that, we’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad.
Farley: How do you know I’m mad?
Joyce: You must be, or you wouldn’t have come here.
Who is Included in NOM – ABS
Because NOM is based strictly on the duration of a person’s stay rather than a specific visa quota, it captures a broad mix of people:
Temporary Visa Holders: This is often the largest component and includes international students, working holidaymakers (backpackers), and temporary skilled workers who stay for over a year including PALM workers who are international employees from participating Pacific Island nations and Timor-Leste who come to Australia under the Pacific Australia Labour Mobility (PALM) scheme to fill workforce shortages
Permanent Visa Holders: New migrants arriving on permanent skilled, family reunification, or humanitarian visas.
Australian Citizens: Citizens returning to live in Australia after an extended period abroad, or conversely, those moving overseas long-term.
New Zealand Citizens: Kiwi citizens moving to Australia under special category visa arrangements.
Also by Terry
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Repost comment one made on Crikey:
He may inspire media and politicians to finally learn about immigration, population and demographic data, especially what has been avoided for twenty years due to a lack of literacy in maths/data, finance/economics, science/research process and empathy…..
The twenty years of obsessing over the nebulous NOM border movement formula masks gross ignorance when’s it’s a variable, fed by many other variables and misrepresented as a fixed or constant migration program that can be capped like permanent migration is; while representing humanity or ‘the other’ as a ‘number’…..
It’s a symptom of the old fossil fuel Rockefeller Foundation/Exxon hosted Club of Rome and junk science LTG Limits to Growth that led to spinoff RBF Rockefeller Bros. Fund ZPG Zero Population Growth. Included Paul ‘Population Bomb’ Ehrlich and collaborator white nationalist, white Australia admirer John ‘passive eugenics’ Tanton; now MAGA Tanton Network with much local influence, bipartisan…..
Tanton’s advice to avoid allegations of racism was to focus upon and ‘get people talking about immigrants’ as a population growth driver and blame them for everything; till he did not follow his own advice caught out requesting a tour of deep south lynching sites…..
Meanwhile nowadays avoiding the demographic facts of increasing longevity through better health, as a driver of long term permanent population growth, after 40 years of below replacement fertility locally, and global youth numbers are static ~2 billion (see Rosling et al).
Short-medium term spikes of temporary border movements under the NOM, which is a fiscal solution, are not a significant driver of long term population growth, as the majority will have departed.
Due to ageing we have relatively more retirees vs fewer working age taxpayers (includes NOM temps), ie. increasing old age dependency ratios till mid century (see Cataggio, The Senior); claiming or willing on workforce participation is not a concrete solution, but a hopeful tactic to try avoid immigration…..