Is Trump Bullet-proof?

This piece is written as a tribute to the late Martin Amis, who found moral depravity widespread but never ordinary: a thing to be anatomised, mocked, named, and held up to the cold light of language. Any echo here is offered in homage to his savage moral clarity, his comic disgust, and his refusal to let euphemism launder cruelty.

Bombing a country on the other side of the globe will not make the Epstein files go away.

Thomas Massie said it, which is inconvenient, because Massie is not some blue-haired MSNBC Cassandra, not a faculty-lounge Bolshevik, not a vegan with a placard and a piercing. He is a Republican congressman from Kentucky. The sort of man the commentariat normally treats as safe furniture. He helped force the Epstein files issue through Congress, then made the mistake of saying the quiet part in a human voice.

War is not an eraser. It is only a louder noise.

Then came the noise at the Washington Hilton.

A man called Cole Tomas Allen, thirty-one, from Torrance, California, allegedly arrived at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner with firearms, knives, and the tiny private end-of-days of a manifesto. He called himself, with a phrase so American it ought to come shrink-wrapped with a coupon and a flag pin, a “Friendly Federal Assassin.”

Friendly. Federal. Assassin. Three words in a trench coat, stalking the ballroom.

He did not kill Trump. On the public record so far, he did not even fire at Trump. He fired at a Secret Service agent, who lived because the bullet found the vest and not the flesh beneath it. Allen was arrested. The president was hustled away. The dinner dissolved into the usual American liturgy: gunfire, panic, prayer, footage, panel discussion.

By midnight, Trump was doing what Trump does after near-death. He was metabolising it.

The danger had already become property. The terror had become content. The president invoked Abraham Lincoln, because of course he did. Trump has never met a martyrdom he could not franchise. There he was again, the orange Lazarus of Mar-a-Lago, rising not from the tomb but from the motorcade, powdered, grieving, aggrieved, radiant with self-pity.

This is his third brush with political violence in less than two years: Butler, the golf course, now the Hilton. Each episode is real enough. Blood is real. Fear is real. The Secret Service agent’s bruised torso is real. But the mythology that follows is also real, and more durable. After Butler, the image was instant: fist raised, blood on the ear, the Iwo Jima pose in a red tie. The theology arrived before the wound had dried. God had saved him. God had chosen him. God, that tireless campaign operative, had intervened in Pennsylvania.

A man saved by God three times does not answer to Congress. He answers to the merchandise table.

And while America watched the hotel carpet, other things slid down the screen.

The Epstein files, for one. NPR reported that the Justice Department had withheld or removed material relating to allegations that mention Trump, including what appear to be more than fifty pages of FBI interviews and notes. The DOJ Inspector General has now opened an audit into whether the department complied with the Epstein Files Transparency Act. This is not a rumour. It is not a meme. It is the slow machinery of records, omissions, redactions, signatures and fear. The terrible patience of paper.

There is a woman in a room somewhere, or the memory of a woman in a room. Fluorescent light, stale air, a federal agent asking questions. She has told them what she says happened. She has sat through the interview. She has reached the point beyond outrage, beyond hope, beyond the civic fairy tale in which power is answerable to truth. Asked whether she will provide more information about Trump, she asks what the point would be.

What would be the point?

That is the sentence which ought to be carved over the entrance to Washington.

Then there is the trading scandal. The arithmetic with a pulse. Reuters reported that more than $500 million in oil-futures bets were placed shortly before Trump posted about Iran talks. Congressman Steven Horsford has put the pattern into the Congressional record: eighteen minutes here, forty-seven minutes there, huge positions before market-moving announcements. No one has yet proved who knew what. That is why the question matters. The market moved before the public knew. Somebody, somewhere, appears to have heard the future clearing its throat.

The old corruption wore a cigar and a pinkie ring. The new corruption wears fleece, stares at six screens, and turns foreknowledge into liquidity. It does not need a brown paper bag. It has an exchange, a shell, a server, a wallet, a minute hand.

And then there is Iran.

Operation Epic Fury was sold as precision, which is the word empires use when they want you to admire the weapon and ignore the wound. Precision is a beautiful word. Surgical. Clean. Calibrated. It belongs to stainless steel and white coats. Then the Tomahawk lands on a primary school.

A school in Minab. Children inside. Children who had names, pencil cases, quarrels, hair clips, sums half-finished, little tyrannies of friendship, morning hunger, fear of mathematics, favourite teachers, shoes with dust on them. Amnesty says 168 people were killed, including more than 100 children. UN experts said the victims were mainly girls aged between seven and twelve. The Guardian reported that a preliminary US military inquiry found Washington responsible for a Tomahawk strike caused by a targeting mistake. The ABC reported that the US was bombing an adjacent Iranian base and that outdated targeting data may have treated the school building as part of that military site. (The Guardian).

This is what “targeting error” means when translated out of Pentagonese. It means a child becomes old data. It means a classroom is killed by an archive. It means the map remembers a barracks and forgets the murals, the sports field, the small shoes, the lunch boxes. It means the obsolete intelligence was more alive to the machine than the children were.

Then comes the ugliest phrase in the modern military lexicon: double tap.

The first strike kills. The second strike kills the rescuers, the survivors, the parents running towards the smoke, the children moved from one room to another because the adults still believed in the existence of a safer place. Middle East Eye reported testimony of a double-tap strike at the school. Iranian accounts have alleged three strikes. Call it what the lawyers will eventually call it. Call it mistake, negligence, recklessness, atrocity, war crime, fog. The children do not rise for the terminology.

This is the obscene genius of the age: everything can be renamed before it is mourned.

Children are not killed. They are civilian casualties. Schools are not bombed. They are misidentified structures. Parents are not shredded while running towards the rubble. They are collateral persons in a dynamic targeting environment. And the missile is never a missile for long. It becomes an incident. The incident becomes a review. The review becomes a delay. The delay becomes the archive. The archive becomes nobody’s fault.

Meanwhile Trump says Iran did it.

Of course he does. The lie is not a deviation from policy. The lie is policy in its most portable form. It travels faster than the correction, fits better on television, arrives camera-ready, and demands only that the dead be unavailable for comment.

Now return to the Hilton.

The man with the gun is useful because he is comprehensible. He has a face, a name, a manifesto, a mugshot, a childhood, a LinkedIn page, a house in Torrance where agents can stand in the dark with torches. Television understands him. Television can loop him. Television can invite former profilers to discuss his isolation, his radicalisation, his knives. Television can say America is broken, then cut to an advert for a pharmaceutical product whose side effects include suicidal ideation and anal bleeding.

But the files are harder. The trades are harder. Minab is harder. A dead child under a Tomahawk is morally simple and politically unbearable, which is why the machinery starts at once. Doubt, blur, delay, dispute, misdirection. Was it the United States? Was it Israel? Was it Iran? Was it bad intelligence? Was it the building? Was it the base? Was it unfortunate? Was it legal? Was it, in the final anaesthetic phrase, under investigation?

The question is not whether Trump is bullet-proof.

Physically, he has been lucky. Politically, he has been armoured by money, spectacle, cowardice, theology, institutional rot and the American addiction to sequels. He has been saved by the camera more often than by God. He has been protected by the inability of the republic to sustain attention for longer than a news cycle, unless the story comes with blood on the lens.

But he is not document-proof.

He is not audit-proof. He is not arithmetic-proof. He is not immune to the fifty missing pages, the eighteen minutes, the forty-seven minutes, the $500 million in oil futures, the dead schoolgirls of Minab, the missile fragments, the timestamp, the investigator, the journalist, the congressman who refuses to shut up.

Bullets make noise. Files wait.

That is the problem for Trump. Not the broken man with the shotgun. Not the hotel panic. Not the saint cards printed before the carpet is dry. The danger is quieter and more lethal. The record. The ledger. The witness. The girl who did not come home from school. The number in the margin that refuses to become mist.

War can bury a scandal for a day. A shooting can bury it for a weekend. Cable news can bury almost anything until the next bright object flashes across the national cage.

But paper has no pulse to stop. Arithmetic does not flinch. The dead do not recant.

And Thomas Massie is still talking.

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About David Tyler 162 Articles
David Tyler – (AKA Urban Wronski) was born in England, raised in New Zealand and an Australian resident since 1979. Urban Wronski grew up conflicted about his own national identity and continues to be deeply mistrustful of all nationalism, chauvinism, flags, politicians and everything else which divides and obscures our common humanity. He has always been enchanted by nature and by the extraordinary brilliance of ordinary men and women and the genius, the power and the poetry that is their vernacular. Wronski is now a full-time freelance writer who lives with his partner and editor Shay and their chooks, near the Grampians in rural Victoria and he counts himself the luckiest man alive. A former teacher of all ages and stages, from Tertiary to Primary, for nearly forty years, he enjoyed contesting the corporatisation of schooling to follow his own natural instinct for undifferentiated affection, approval and compassion for the young.

7 Comments

  1. Apart from the fact that Trump thinks he’s Christ, no he’s not bullet proof!

    Butler and the other ‘attempts’ have all been staged to boost votes from a waning Maga crowd.

    Maybe this was a planned scenario for him to be martyred and insert Vance into the Presidency pronto with the support of the FBI and Secret Service, security seems to have been very questionable.

  2. … a lie will make its way around the world before the truth has got its boots on (Sir Terry Pratchett)

  3. Heather: Thanks for this. You’re right that Trump has milked every brush with violence for every last drop of political capital, starting approximately three seconds after the Butler bullet grazed his ear. The fist-pump, the blood, the Iwo Jima pose: that was not a man in shock. That was a man who understood immediately what had just happened to his brand.

    But I have to be straight with you, as one sceptic to another: the staged or planned scenario argument is where I have to part company, and not because I think Trump is above it. I don’t. I think he’s capable of most things. The problem is evidentiary, and it’s a problem that matters.

    Butler involved a real bullet that genuinely grazed a real ear. The shooter, Thomas Matthew Crooks, is dead; shot by Secret Service. The golf course involved Ryan Wesley Routh, now serving life in a federal prison, who left behind writings, a rifle, and a documented obsession. Cole Allen at the Hilton had purchase records for two legally-bought firearms, a train ticket from Los Angeles, a farewell note sent to his family, and a manifesto investigators have been reading since Saturday night. His employer put out a statement. His sister talked to the Secret Service. His social media history is being forensically reconstructed.

    These are not the paper trails of a staged event. They are the paper trails of three disturbed men acting on their own.

    The Vance insertion theory is the one I’d be most cautious about. For that to hold, you’d need the FBI, the Secret Service, the DC Metropolitan Police, the Acting Attorney General, and Allen’s own family all running a coordinated deception simultaneously; with Allen himself apparently unaware he was a prop, given that he packed knives, took the train, sent his family an apology, and wrote about minimising casualties to bystanders. That’s not a patsy. That’s a very troubled person who meant what he was doing.

    Here’s what I think is actually true and more damning: Trump doesn’t need to stage anything. The machinery around him. The “theology”, the merchandise, the cable news pivot, runs automatically. The exploitation is real. The manipulation of real events for political gain is real and documented. That’s the story, and it’s worse in some ways than a conspiracy, because it doesn’t require planning. It just requires shamelessness, and that he has in unlimited supply.

    The security lapses are worth scrutiny: a hotel guest with a shotgun is a legitimate question. But questionable security is not the same as complicit security. The former happens. The latter requires evidence we don’t have.

    Stay sceptical. Stay angry. Just keep the ammunition dry for the fights where the facts are on our side. And there are plenty of those. And always keep Occam’s Razor handy.

  4. David, another forensic analysis to be absorbed and filed in the burdened folder labelled American insanities, thank you.

    What’s evident, time and again, is the recourse to weasel words, obfuscations, diversions, look-over-there-isms, straight out lying and more. Clearly very difficult for the average person to parse between truth and falsity, and possibly in particular Americans at large who’ve been raised on a TV diet since their inception. The consistent use of propaganda and falsehood is an extremely venal endeavour that protects the interests of those who profit by these enterprises of criminality and antihumanitarianism; capitalism writ large, profit at whatever cost. Expecting Trump, Hegseth or others of the inner circle to acknowledge their roles in the current fiasco and its mounting numbers of unnecessary deaths of innocents is a fool’s errand, sadly, tragically. The pathology continues…

  5. Some non participants are claiming it’s time to end these suck fests to power masquerading as a correspondents’ event?

    Apparently, like similar locally, attendees are white, middle class and view themselves as players, around other players; ever decreasing circles and declining quality….

    On double taps, there is a clear inspiration for their use vs civilians, Putin’s (nominally) Russian missile attacks on Ukraine’s civilians and related infrastructure.

    Sometimes, if vision the RW MSM reports, but some indie outlets aggressively feign ignorance, due to following US or related* grifters; too easy.

    Someone locally, unwittingly, follows a US based institute or think tank that claims to support Palestinian victims, but the same institute is staffed with white middle aged conservative Christian types, funded by fossil fuels and weapons manufacturers…….

    Some in US indie media outlets are warning aka Koch Heritage and Evangelicals Project Esther, is not just Islamophobic, but anti-semitic for US white Christian nationalists and Evangelicals, but leveraging centre and left to attack the centre; apparently Albanese is responsible, for everything…. how easy…..

  6. ‘Putin’s (nominally) Russian’, meaning he is misusing ethnic minorities as cannon fodder to avoid using white middle class Russians….

  7. @ David Tyler: As a fellow sceptic I demur from your Vance theory, not because it lacks credibility, but rather because of the JFK assassination in which an FBI agent was inserted into the Presidential security team with the knowledge of J Edgar Hoover and subsequently, the FBI spent a small fortune eventually finding a backwoodsman who could fire a martini rifle at the required reloading rate. Perhaps the best reference for the JFK assassination is the five (5) year investigation by a retired Australian policeman ….. based on my 40 years reading everything available about this matter.

    As Andrew Smith has regularly advised, there are some very influential players at this level of American government activity.

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