Last lap, little traction: the election campaign’s final frenzy

Image from the BBC (Photos by Getty)

As the Australian federal election looms, the campaign’s final week has been a whirlwind of hot-button issues. But with political spin and media agendas in overdrive, are voters actually tuning in? Have these talking points hit home, or are they just noise? Here’s my take on what’s been dominating the discourse and whether it’s swaying the ballot box.

Cost of Living

Cost of living remains the top voter concern, with 57% of electors citing it as their primary issue.

Labor’s Approach: Anthony Albanese has promoted policies such as a $1,200 tax offset for earners between $48,000 and $104,000 and energy bill subsidies.

Coalition’s Approach: Peter Dutton has framed the election as a choice for better economic management, proposing fuel excise cuts and policies to tackle bracket creep (though without a clear timeline).

Effectiveness: This issue resonates strongly, but voter disengagement is high. Polls indicate over half of Australians can’t name a policy from either party that would improve their lives, suggesting neither side has landed a decisive blow. Labor’s subsidies are seen as incremental, while the Coalition’s fuel cut is tangible but criticised as a short-term “sugar hit.” Social media posts reflect voter frustration with both parties’ solutions, indicating limited effectiveness in swaying undecided voters.

Housing Affordability

Housing is a critical issue, with high rents, fading homeownership hopes, and insecurity for older renters driving voter concern.

Labor’s Approach: Albanese has defended Labor’s $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund, aiming to deliver 55,000 social and affordable homes, and emphasised low-deposit schemes (5% for homebuyers).

Coalition’s Approach: Dutton proposes allowing superannuation access for home purchases and scrapping the Housing Australia Future Fund, arguing it’s ineffective. He’s positioned himself as the “PM for home ownership.”

Effectiveness: Housing is a galvanising issue, but both parties’ policies are seen as inadequate. Experts argue that supply-side slogans dominate over structural reforms, and voters remain skeptical. Neither major party has captured the narrative decisively, with social media reflecting cynicism about “band-aid” solutions.

Crime and Law and Order

Concern about crime has surged, with 23% of voters prioritising it (up 10% since 2022).

Labor’s Approach: Labor has been less vocal on crime, focusing instead on broader social issues.

Coalition’s Approach: Dutton has campaigned heavily in the NT, promising to work with the Country Liberal Party, announcing a $750 million package to address youth crime.

Effectiveness: Dutton’s focus on crime would have energised Coalition supporters. It’s gained traction in regional areas, but its national impact is limited, as cost of living overshadows it in urban centers. Labor’s silence risks alienating voters in crime-sensitive regions, but it may be a strategic choice to avoid a Coalition strength.

National Security and Global Instability

Global tensions, including Donald Trump’s tariffs and potential Russian military moves in Indonesia, have elevated national security.

Labor’s Approach: Albanese has expressed openness to increasing defense spending but avoided specifics, facing criticism for not matching the Coalition’s commitments. He’s distanced himself from Trump, framing Labor as a stable choice amid global uncertainty.

Coalition’s Approach: Dutton has capitalised on security fears, criticising Albanese’s failure to secure a Trump call on tariffs and emphasising a hawkish stance. However, he stumbled by misattributing a Russian military report to Indonesia’s president.

Effectiveness: National security has rallied conservative voters, but its impact is diluted by economic concerns. Albanese’s stability pitch may resonate with voters wary of Trump-like volatility, as reflected in social media sentiments linking Dutton to Trump. Dutton’s misstep on Indonesia likely blunted his momentum. The issue is effective for targeted audiences but not a game-changer.

Welcome to Country Ceremonies

Dutton’s comments labeling Welcome to Country ceremonies as “overdone” and Labor’s defense of cultural protocols have reignited cultural debates.

Labor’s Approach: Albanese has defended cultural protocols but avoided reigniting the Voice debate, focusing on unity.

Coalition’s Approach: Dutton has used this to appeal to conservative voters, framing Labor as out of touch on cultural issues.

Effectiveness: This issue is polarising and risks alienating moderate voters for both sides. Dutton’s stance may solidify his base but could repel urban progressives, while Labor’s measured response aims to avoid backlash but lacks boldness. Social media shows mixed reactions, with some voters seeing it as a distraction from economic issues. Its effectiveness is limited, as it’s not a top voter priority.

The Last Word

The major talking points – cost of living, housing, crime, national security, and cultural issues – reflect voter priorities but have not fully broken through due to disengagement and skepticism. Labor’s stability-focused campaign maintains its edge, with Albanese favoured to win. Dutton’s late push on crime and security has narrowed the gap in some regions, but missteps and economic dominance limit its impact. Neither side has delivered a knockout policy, and minor parties may hold the balance of power. The effectiveness of this week’s talking points is moderate, with economic issues resonating most but failing to inspire widespread confidence.

Also by Michael Taylor: The “race” to the bottom

 

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About Michael Taylor 58 Articles
Michael is a retired Public Servant. His interests include Australian and US politics, history, travel, and Indigenous Australia. Michael holds a BA in Aboriginal Affairs Administration, a BA (Honours) in Aboriginal Studies, and a Diploma of Government.

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