By Christopher Kennedy
Two months ago I wrote an article, in this publication, where I placed a five dollar bet that the USA was going to fall into civil war. In part it was tongue in cheek. Whose laughing now?
Not me. My analysis, although becoming more correct as each day goes by, was sent as a warning that the USA needed to get rid of Trump, but now he is in and madder than ever, there is little we can do about it.
So what has happened that makes this analysis so frighteningly closer than I thought? A three hundred thousand bed prison camp at the Bay of Pigs in Cuba, seems a fair sign that Trump and his minions are getting ready for some serious business.
He (Trump) is probably looking for an excuse to undertake his nefarious plans. Not the plane crash yesterday (for which he has already blamed minorities) but a truly spectacular disaster which he probably is planning at the moment.
Also, his naming of the Gulf of Mexico as the Gulf of America is not a good look for the many countries in Asia who are not happy about the encroachment of China into the the South China Sea. Will American forces be used to back up the locals in this dispute? No, I believe that is not his intention. Taiwan is nervous to say the least, yet it is more likely he wants to bully Mexico and Canada his punitive attacks on their sovereignty. From this I believe will be the reason for the Bay of Pigs establishment.
This will not be good news for the Australian Liberal Party whose leader Peter Dutton is presently aping Trump’s diversity hatred. The Canadians have fought with us in every single war (bar the Vietnam war) since the beginning of the century.
We have a special bond with the Canadians that is being tested by the Trump administration. To put it another way, the Canadians may ask for our help, and given Trumps insanity I would be more inclined to fight for them than the USA.
As for Mexico, we have no real special bond but in order for world peace we should stand up for them as well.
I am no expert on North American politics, Asia Australia affairs is my thing, so I will say no more about that continent.
I believe, however, opportunity will be rife in Asia soon for a major showdown if we let the Chinese and Americans undertake their present courses of action. Does Australia encourage this or do we hope that better times are around the corner?
The President of Indonesia, Prabowo Subianto has recently celebrated a hundred days in office with an 80 per cent approval rating. A very comfortable position to launch retaliatory action against the Chinese in the South China Sea. Will it come to that or will it be a case of Prawobo following the Trump line? It’s a good question.
When the East Timor war was fought the Americans made it clear that retaliation against Australia by Indonesia would not be tolerated by them. Now this may not be the case, however. Does this mean the Indonesians are anti-Australian or vice a versa? Apart from few drunken louts in Bali, Australia and Indonesia tend to stay on good terms. The paranoia of the Indonesians’ invading Australia is still there, however it’s not practical for a start.
What Australia must do in the near future is diversify its armaments supply. Plenty of European countries supply perfectly good weapons, as well as Japan and South Korea. These are our natural friends in this time of crisis.
To find the USA, China and Russia all run by tyrants is not pleasing but this is the case, regardless of the huge propaganda machines that they pay to say otherwise. The biggest of these bullshit artists in Australia is of course the Murdoch press. Murdoch doesn’t care about Australia, he only cares about money and power.
And people buy the bullshit, not reckoning that the smart-arse remarks they can quote come from propagandists being paid a thousand dollars a day.
In the short term there will be a lot of tension in Australia; do we back the Canadians or the USA, do we make some peace with the Indonesians and how do we deal with China?
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This is a sick world, now declining into delirium, delusion, decline. Trump alone has contaminated, poxed, infected, buggeroonied the cadaverous world’s system (hah) of political, social, economic, diplomatic and educational soul and mind. Putridity prevails, doom of climate and environment threaten, hope recedes, sense evaporates. Of course, A I and someone’s excess money hoards will save us…
Trump’s Tariffs are a consumption tax payable by any consumer in the US who purchases the selected imported goods (and services) to which the tariffs are applied – so this would appear to place a considerable onus on the consumer to discern between what is imported and thus subject to a tariff (an import tax) and those goods exempt from the tax because they are manufactured in the US – of course, the consumer is in the hands of the retailer who may just decide to put up all prices and make hay while Trump’s tariff sun shines.
Whatever the case these tariffs will fuel inflation in the US and put even more pressure on the struggling consumer – the tariffs will also damage the economies of, in particular, Canada and Mexico in the first instance.
So has The Don really thought this through or does he just not care ?
Terence:
He doesn’t understand how tarrifs work AND he doesn’t care who it hurts (as long as it isn’t him).
Good morning Leefe
Trump said in his speech to the World Economic Forum at Darvos that tariffs would “make up for lost revenue: he predicted that the tariffs would bring in hundreds of billions of dollars — perhaps trillions of dollars — into the US Treasury.”
So he clearly understands that his policies will hurt the American consumer but as you note, he just doesn’t care.
Leefe trump’s brain is now and empties when he speaks how can he think things through?
Dance he thinks canada and mexico will pay the tariff
As for caring he freed his jan 6 friends?
Trump is said to be anti-war … Ha! He wouldn’t know shit from clay. Criminality via murder, civil war, any war is the USA old power broker’s stock-in-trade. Trump is simply their latest insane trained monkey, coercer in chief. And the whole world knows it.
All talk of warfare in response is playing to their plan.
Here’s an essay with some further meat on the bones of what Xi Jinping has to say about The Grey Rhino.
America has become the master of alienation, and probably the best response to that can be seen in the rise and rise of BRICS+. A few weeks ago Prabowo Subianto, president of our nearest huge neighbor, Indonesia, announced their full membership.
Of course the history of the mendacity and brutality of the ‘West’ in the cultures and territory of the ‘East’ does not go unnoticed. By comparison, the cultural sophistication of the ‘East’ dwarfs that of the pretenders of the ‘West’. Against the armed brutality of the ‘West’, the ‘East’ has had to play a ‘long game’. And that it has done, at great cost, ridding itself of the western imperialists. But of course, the ongoing blundering mendacity, mercantile adventure, brutality and military coercion of the obsessive Uncle Sam has forced the hand of the continental north and east, so now the world has SCO.
With Uncle Sam riding a tad high in the saddle, and Trump madly poking and prodding at the EU, NATO, Panama, Mexico and at least one of the five-eyes, and the Belts and Roads hitting its straps, I don’t think I’ll be putting my money on the USA’s olde Trojan Horse.